follow CCP

Recent blog entries
popular papers

What Is the "Science of Science Communication"?

Climate-Science Communication and the Measurement Problem

Ideology, Motivated Cognition, and Cognitive Reflection: An Experimental Study

'Ideology' or 'Situation Sense'? An Experimental Investigation of Motivated Reasoning and Professional Judgment

A Risky Science Communication Environment for Vaccines

Motivated Numeracy and Enlightened Self-Government

Ideology, Motivated Cognition, and Cognitive Reflection: An Experimental Study

Making Climate Science Communication Evidence-based—All the Way Down 

Neutral Principles, Motivated Cognition, and Some Problems for Constitutional Law 

Cultural Cognition of Scientific Consensus
 

The Tragedy of the Risk-Perception Commons: Science Literacy and Climate Change

"They Saw a Protest": Cognitive Illiberalism and the Speech-Conduct Distinction 

Geoengineering and the Science Communication Environment: a Cross-Cultural Experiment

Fixing the Communications Failure

Why We Are Poles Apart on Climate Change

The Cognitively Illiberal State 

Who Fears the HPV Vaccine, Who Doesn't, and Why? An Experimental Study

Cultural Cognition of the Risks and Benefits of Nanotechnology

Whose Eyes Are You Going to Believe? An Empirical Examination of Scott v. Harris

Cultural Cognition and Public Policy

Culture, Cognition, and Consent: Who Perceives What, and Why, in "Acquaintance Rape" Cases

Culture and Identity-Protective Cognition: Explaining the White Male Effect

Fear of Democracy: A Cultural Evaluation of Sunstein on Risk

Cultural Cognition as a Conception of the Cultural Theory of Risk

« Two channel solution to the science communication problem (slide show) | Main | What the Gang of 32 at Science got wrong--and what they got right... »
Tuesday
Mar202012

Data-driven simulation of jurors & *juries* in acquaintance rape case

Slides from today's class in my Harvard Law School criminal law course.

 Presents individual-level mock juror data from Culture, Cognition, and Consent: Who Perceives What, and Why, in 'Acquaintance Rape' Cases, 158 U. Pa. L. Rev. 729 (2010) and associated jury-verdict simulations generated by Maggie Wittlin's amazing Jurysim program.

Described in her Results of Deliberation paper (which also has Stata code for the program), Jurysim makes it possible to estimate the likelihood that a jury drawn from a particular "venire" -- i.e., a pool of prospective jurors whose demographics are specified by the user. Basically, it's a nested set of simulations--one for selecting 1000 juries, another for computing each individual juror's pre-deliberation or first-ballot vote, and then another for determining the outcome of deliberations (i.e., the verdict) given the first-ballot vote for each jury's individual members.... Yow, zoiks!

I'd say I know 100x more about what the data in Culture, Cognition &  Consent & Whose Eyes Are You Going to Believe? Scott v. Harris and the Perils of Cognitive Illiberalism, 122 Harv. L. Rev. 837 (2009), another study that MW features in her paper, mean w/ the benefit of MW's simulations. 

 

PrintView Printer Friendly Version

EmailEmail Article to Friend

Reader Comments

There are no comments for this journal entry. To create a new comment, use the form below.

PostPost a New Comment

Enter your information below to add a new comment.

My response is on my own website »
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
Some HTML allowed: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>