I’m going to resist summarizing Miller & Sanjurjo’s “Surprised by the Gambler's and Hot Hand Fallacies? A Truth in the Law of Small Numbers,” not only because I’ve already tried to do that multiple times –
- Holy smokes! The " 'hot-hand fallacy' fallacy"!
- Still fooled by non-randomness? Some gadgets to help you *see* the " 'hot hand fallacy' fallacy